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A favorite Wall Street saying - "Sell in May and go away." This would have worked well again this year, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average has lost ground for six straight weeks, falling 6.7% since late April.
According to The Wall Street Journal, the Dow Jones Industrial Average over its entire 115-year history, has fallen an average of 0.04% in May, one of three months that have a negative average. (The others are February and September.)
An excerpt from our March 2011 Newsletter regarding panic selling, that I found informative:
It rarely pays says Mark Hulbert on marketwatch.com. "Perhaps the closest recent analogy to what Japan is going through right now is the 9-11 terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center and the Pentagon. Just as is the case with the Japanese stock market, Wall Street plunged on the day it eventually reopened following those attacks. But the market quickly recovered. Consider an investor who was unlucky enough to have invested in the stock market on Sept 10, 2001, the day before the attacks. Believe it or not, within just two months that investor would have been in the black. You might object that it's dangerous to draw investment conclusions from this one turn of events. But the market's behavior after 9-11 was right in line with historical precedent. Consider a study conducted by Ned Davis Research, the quantitative research firm. It identified what it considered to be the 28 worst political or economic crises over the six decades prior to the 9-11 attacks - beginning with the Fall of France in 1940 and Pearl Harbor in 1941. In 19 of these 28 cases, according to the firm, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was higher six months after the crisis began. The average six-month gain following all 28 crises was 2.3%." ...... MarketWatch.com
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 68.23 points, or 0.6 percent, to close at about 11891.93, after falling 1.4 percent on Friday. For the month, the Dow gained 314.42 points or 2.72 percent, its best January performance since 1997 and its first January gain in four years. ...... From CNBC
